Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1742.150876 1902.035085 2064.771961 2242.524105 2430.925961 2624.384734 2837.767352
2025-03-09 1504.780821 1743.312416 1996.022160 2282.555010 2597.270993 2931.299004 3311.495216
2025-03-16 1319.109048 1599.011432 1904.617927 2260.732902 2661.948015 3097.710885 3604.453033
2025-03-23 1223.006759 1538.624102 1891.741255 2312.250525 2795.493379 3329.690932 3961.023559
2025-03-30 1124.123116 1463.977953 1852.860643 2325.153010 2877.568144 3497.770607 4241.094979
2025-04-06 1035.032439 1392.625254 1810.488914 2327.226333 2941.365622 3640.490818 4488.860020
2025-04-13 919.780148 1281.149051 1712.854535 2256.781571 2913.870167 3672.418238 4604.356490
2025-04-20 889.800225 1272.143170 1736.500752 2329.676384 3054.815663 3900.388103 4948.454202
2025-04-27 846.789414 1243.286137 1732.938579 2367.094399 3151.491307 4075.237758 5230.083821
2025-05-04 790.183502 1193.166704 1699.592747 2364.863897 3197.689787 4188.330356 5437.562412
2025-05-11 732.614405 1138.208051 1656.959796 2348.133212 3223.679015 4275.356018 5612.718209
2025-05-18 693.372803 1105.391098 1640.752787 2363.072470 3287.634825 4407.686341 5842.372132
2025-05-25 646.298409 1060.054015 1607.041514 2355.131820 3323.394677 4507.042739 6034.845937
2025-06-01 619.563006 1041.627235 1607.975450 2391.562665 3415.351699 4676.407451 6314.551663
2025-06-08 573.538997 993.011832 1565.867591 2369.235409 3430.342562 4748.794421 6474.020353
2025-06-15 557.616507 986.966565 1581.037587 2422.487165 3542.754645 4943.534913 6786.149770
2025-06-22 529.354002 961.030986 1567.328880 2435.825465 3602.466698 5071.561156 7015.362185
2025-06-29 499.450719 930.906310 1546.291631 2437.968646 3646.585365 5179.344840 7219.240864
2025-07-06 448.537105 865.585934 1472.537442 2365.139264 3589.063555 5155.278889 7255.135578
2025-07-13 445.101696 874.340262 1505.446155 2440.501255 3730.025453 5387.552431 7617.915459
2025-07-20 431.290274 865.724933 1512.420092 2479.177000 3821.604901 5556.297721 7900.560920
2025-07-27 406.915742 838.655785 1491.053892 2476.871686 3857.029319 5651.727600 8089.452701
2025-08-03 380.100050 806.016476 1460.024576 2459.579197 3871.063790 5718.590361 8241.376920